Tag Archives: luck

Baseball Curses

Nationality: American

Occupation: Student

Residence: San Diego, CA

Text:
“There are tons of curses in baseball but the two main ones are the Curse of the Billy Goat and the Curse of the Bambino. The Curse of the Billy Goat was placed on the Chicago Cubs after a man brought his pet goat to Wrigley for a world series game. The goat was annoying the fans sitting around him so security very reasonably tried to kick the guy and his goat out. This enraged the man, who declared that the Cubs would never win the World Series ever again. It took 108 years but the Cubs finally broke the curse in 2016. The other major curse is the curse of the Bambino, which happened to the Boston Red Sox after they traded Babe Ruth to the Yankees. It’s impossible to know why they would even consider trading the greatest player ever to their arch rivals, and after making the trade in 1920 they didn’t win the World Series until 2004.”

Context:

My friend described both of these curses as if they were fact, which he later justified by saying that there’s no way a team could go 108 years without winning a World Series unless they had been cursed. In general my friend takes a very analytical approach to baseball, and he is very interested in advanced statistics and sabermetrics, which made it more surprising he would accept superstition as fact. He said that the baseball community overall accepts both of these curses as being real, undeniable things that happened. When I asked him more about this he brought up multiple incidents that were “proof” that the curses were real. For the Red Sox he mentioned the Bucky F. Dent incident, where the worst hitter on the Yankees hit a home run to eliminate the Red Sox, and the Bill Buckner incident where a horrible error by the Red Sox’s first baseman allowed the Mets to beat the Red Sox in the World Series. For the Cubs he mentioned the Steve Bartman incident, where a Cubs fan interfered with play which led to a late inning meltdown eliminating the Cubs from the playoffs. Despite my friend being focused on the analytical, statistically backed aspects of baseball he firmly believes that these curses are real.

Analysis:

Like my friend, I am also interested in statistics. Out of curiosity I calculated the odds of a team going 108 years without winning a World Series because on the surface that feels like an impossibly long drought. Surprisingly, the odds of any one team not winning over a 108 year stretch is 57%, meaning that it is more likely than not for a team to suffer that long of a drought. This statistical quirk, combined with the incidents my friend listed when I questioned him, reveal a lot about how superstitions form. First, it feels impossible for a team to go 108 years without winning (even though the opposite is true), which leads to people questioning how that can happen. This leads to a theory being formed, in this case the theory being that these teams are cursed. Once the theory is formed, confirmation bias leads to random events being attributed to the curse. So many superstitions spawn from a desire to have a better understanding of the world, and in this case the superstitions appeared out of a desire to understand counterintuitive statistics.

Standing at a Baseball Game

Nationality: American

Occupation: Student

Residence: San Diego, CA

Text: 

“Standing while at a baseball game during a big moment jinxes it. And you jinx it more the earlier you stand. Like with runners on in a close game, if you stand at the beginning of the plate appearance that’s the biggest jinx possible. Or standing when Diaz (the New York Mets closer) starts a plate appearance. I don’t stand until it’s 3-2 bases loaded game 7 OR the guy in front of me stands.”

Context:
My friend is an enormous Mets fan. He has season tickets so he goes to almost every home game when he is not at college, and watches most away games on television. When I asked him what happens if you stand too early, he did not list any specific incidents, but did give specific theoretical events, such as an overexcited crowd causing the Mets closer to give up a home run or for their star first baseman to strike out. This is not a commonly held belief, it is shared between my friend and his father. It is also worth noting that my friend is very tall, so if he stands up it would be difficult for the person behind him to see.
Analysis:
This superstition is a reflection of how magical thinking is often born out of a desire to have control over events that are otherwise out of our hands. The interesting thing about this superstition is that the action he takes contradicts the rest of the crowd. While everyone else stands, he remains seated. By taking this individual action, he has an individual feeling of control over the outcome of the game, despite having no real influence on the result. This superstition could not exist if it was a widely held belief; it only exists because it allows my friend to feel a sense of individual control over something beyond his reach.

The George Santos Curse

Nationality: American

Occupation: Student

Residence: San Diego, CA

Text:

In March of 2023, just before opening day, Congressman George Santos published a video on Twitter wearing a Mets jersey where he incorrectly chanted “Let’s go Mets”. This video was posted while he was enveloped in an enormous fraud scandal, which would ultimately lead to him being expelled from Congress and sentenced to seven years in prison. The moment that the video was released, my friend was convinced that George Santos had just cursed the Mets for the 2023 season. Despite starting the year as World Series favorites, the Mets went on to win less than half of their games and miss the playoffs. In 2024 after George Santos was expelled from Congress, the Mets unexpectedly made a playoff run which was proof to my friend that Santos cursed the Mets and the curse was lifted when he was gone.

Context:
My friend lives in New York’s third congressional district, which is the district Santos represented and where the Mets play home games. He was not old enough to vote when Santos was elected, but he hated him and wanted him to be removed from office. After Santos posted the cringeworthy video on Twitter, jokes appeared online that he had just cursed the Mets and that the Mets could never win with him in office. My friend latched onto this idea, and throughout the season whenever the Mets lost he would text me about how the George Santos curse is killing the Mets.

Analysis:

This belief is a clear example of Frazer’s idea of the Law of Similarity in magic. The Law of Similarity states that a magician will produce a desired effect by mimicking it. In this case George Santos was (unintentionally) the magician, and he transferred the negativity surrounding himself onto the Mets by wearing their jersey. Following this idea, it makes sense that the curse would be lifted after Santos was expelled. Prior to being expelled from office Santos was hated for being a fraudster, but after he was expelled people began to find him amusing. This changing energy surrounding Santos was reflected in the Mets turnaround, where they unexpectedly had a great season in 2024.

No Hitter Jinx

Nationality: American

Occupation: Student

Residence: San Diego, CA

Text:

When a pitcher is throwing a no hitter or a perfect game, nobody in the dugout is allowed to talk to the pitcher and nobody at all (including teammates, fans, broadcasters, and anyone else watching) is allowed to say the words “no-hitter” or “perfect game”. If you talk to the pitcher or if you say no-hitter you will jinx the pitcher and they will give up a hit.

Context:

Both of these rules are common practice across baseball, and my friend has experienced both of them first hand. In high school, one of his teammates had a perfect game going through 6 innings; when he was not on the mound the pitcher sat by himself at the far end of the dugout and nobody, including the coaches would talk to him. Normally coaches would ask how a pitcher is feeling after every inning and give them advice, but the coach stayed far away. The pitcher successfully finished the perfect game. As a fan, my friend was in attendance when the Mets pitched a no-hitter in 2022. Everybody knew that the Mets had a no-hitter going, and the crowd became more and more excited as they got closer to closing out the game, but nobody ever said the words “no-hitter”. People would count down the number of outs left, or ask each other questions like “do you think they’ll pull it off” but everyone carefully avoided the words “no-hitter”.

Analysis:

Both of these rules are in line with Frazers principles of sympathetic magic. The refusal to talk to a pitcher can be seen as wanting to avoid contact with the pitcher along the lines of the Law of Contact. If a pitcher has a perfect game going and you come into contact with him, then your imperfections could influence the pitcher and ruin his perfect game. The refusal to say the words “no-hitter” or “perfect game” follows a similar idea, but here you are not interacting with the pitcher but rather with the perfect game itself. By saying “perfect game”, a person is indirectly contacting the perfect game (if the perfect game is to be thought of as an object), and by contacting the perfect game the person risks magically ruining the game. Beyond the magical beliefs of a perfect game, there is major societal pressure involved with these rules. If you break one of these rules and a pitcher gives up a hit, people will blame you for it. To avoid the risk of being blamed, people follow these rules whether they believe in magic or not.

Rabbit Rabbit Rabbit

“Rabbit, rabbit, rabbit” is a saying performed on the first of each month to ensure good luck for the entire month.”

Context

“I’m pretty sure my mom is the one who started saying it – it’s an English tradition and she’s from India, so I don’t 100% know where she got it from, though. We differ in what exactly the rules are – I say you just have to say it first thing [in the morning], but my mom says someone has to hear you say it.”

Analysis

Wishes and rituals for good fortune or luck are universal. If your luck turns around, theoretically it would affect every aspect of your life. Wealth, romance, career prospects, health… there’s no need for a fortune teller when the universe seems to favor you. Luck covers a lot of bases, so it makes sense that it would be something to wish for.

Rabbits are, historically, creatures that embody luck. Holding onto a rabbit’s foot is said to bring you good fortune. Thankfully, saying the animal’s name three times at the start of the month helps avoid possible animal cruelty. Still, it’s important to note the thematic, rabbit-y overlap between two luck-based superstitions, as it shows how rituals that cover the same areas can draw from the same inspiration, but be performed differently.

Speaking of performing differently, it’s interesting to see the divergence in this superstition between the informant and his mother. Even within family units, the exact specifics surrounding a superstition can differ and be performed differently. For the informant, it’s enough to invoke the saying to only the universe. For the informant’s mother, the act only works if another is there to witness it. Why does this difference exist? Did the informant’s mother re-interpret the ritual when she adopted it? Did the informant develop their own version of the superstition after interacting with other demonstrations of it?